Analysis and comments
Content of this section is a personal opinion of the author and does not reflect RATS SCO position.
In Uzbekistan, more and more young people are falling under the influence of Islamist recruiters. Interestingly, the main ideologues of radical Islam in the Uzbek-speaking Internet space live mainly in Ukraine or Turkey. This is what expert from Uzbekistan, director of the Center for the Study of Regional Threats Viktor Mikhailov told EADaily.
In recent weeks, a number of accusations have been voiced, stating that the governments of both Qatar and Turkey actively supported Jabhat Fatah al-Sham terrorist group (formerly Jebhat al-Nusra, banned in Russia). In one case, Qatar had allegedly used Turkish banks to send funds to a group put on the list of terrorist organizations in many countries, including the United States, says the Cyprus Mail newspaper.
In May 2021, the security situation in several areas of Iraq remained tense, due to both the destabilizing activities of the “Islamic State” terrorist group and the activity of Shiite paramilitary groups. The Turkish armed forces continued the military operation against the forces of the Kurdistan Workers' Party launched in the northern Iraq in April.
The Taliban may step up activities in the context of the expected withdrawal of foreign troops from Afghanistan this year. This forecast was included in the June report by the UN Monitoring Group. Experts predict that Afghan security forces will soon lose their ability to conduct large-scale air raids due to reduced logistical support. The Taliban, according to UN observations, for the first time tried to establish control over foreign fighters operating in the country and, it seems, sabotaged the call to break with Al-Qaeda. The UN is confident that the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan will only convince the Taliban of their power.
Throughout May, low-intensity fighting was observed in several provinces of the country.
Afrasiab Khatak is a former senator from Pakhtunkhwa province in Pakistan and a regional affairs analyst.
The Afghan National Army (ANA) inflicted heavy losses on the Taliban in May. Government forces not just ruined the Taliban's plans to seize several large cities in Afghanistan at once, but destroyed at least 7,000 militants and field commanders of junior and middle-level terrorists.
Presently, Western intelligence services say there is a high probability of the collapse of the central government of Afghanistan and the deterioration of the country to the state of civil war after the withdrawal of US troops.
US Special Representative for Afghanistan Reconciliation Zalmay Khalilzad argues that the radical Islamist Taliban has a reason not to seek military victory, but instead to try to achieve a political settlement through negotiation.
Both Kabul and the Taliban announced a three-day ceasefire to mark the religious holiday of Eid al-Fitr last week.